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	<title>Blog P.I. &#187; Chuck Hagel</title>
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	<link>http://www.blogpi.net</link>
	<description>Putting the blogosphere under a magnifying glass</description>
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		<title>The Lieberman-Hagel Pact</title>
		<link>http://www.blogpi.net/the-lieberman-hagel-pact</link>
		<comments>http://www.blogpi.net/the-lieberman-hagel-pact#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 May 2008 17:08:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Beutler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Lamont v. Lieberman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Leftosphere vs. Rightosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Memeorandum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White House '08]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Beutler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chuck Hagel]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogpi.net/the-lieberman-hagel-pact</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A little over a year ago, I raised the possibility that Chuck Hagel could be primaried by the right in 2008 the same as the left did to Joe Lieberman in 2006. We&#8217;ll never know for sure how that would have played, because Hagel opted to retire and not stand for re-election. But the two [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img align='right' src='http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/hagel-is-lieberman-is-hagel-small.jpg' width='170' alt='Lieberman and Hagel, mirror opposites' />A little over a year ago, <a href="http://www.blogpi.net/the-next-lieberman">I raised the possibility</a> that Chuck Hagel could be primaried by the right in 2008 the same as the left did to Joe Lieberman in 2006. We&#8217;ll never know for sure how that would have played, because Hagel opted to retire and not stand for re-election. But the two senators&#8217; fates appear tied nonetheless, as the top of <a href="http://www.memeorandum.com/080521/h1200">Memeorandum at noon today</a> indicates (see below left, image is also clickable).</p>
<p>Lieberman has already endorsed McCain, and <a href="http://blog.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2007/12/fixcam_week_in_preview_lieberm.html">in fact did so long before</a> it was apparent that McCain would land the GOP nomination. In the Wall Street Journal article featured, <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121132806884008847.html">Lieberman continues to make the case</a> for his longtime colleague. Hagel has not yet endorsed Barack Obama, but <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/05/20/chuck-hagel-takes-on-mcca_n_102775.html">it seems increasingly likely</a>, as the Huffington Post article by Sam Stein just below suggests.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.memeorandum.com/080521/h1200"><img align='left' src='http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/memeorandum-lieberman-hagel-small.jpg' alt='Lieberman and Hagel atop Memeorandum' /></a>One more thing: Out of the blogs listed as following the two stories, a non-trivial majority are liberal or non-partisan reporter blogs. And there&#8217;s another imbalance: I see conservative bloggers supporting the Lieberman op-ed, and liberal bloggers criticizing it. Meanwhile, there are plenty of liberal bloggers supporting the article about Hagel, but no right-leaning bloggers weighing in on the same. I&#8217;ll grant that this is a very small sample, but I mention it because it&#8217;s a pattern I recognize: the leftosphere is more active than the rightosphere in contesting the opposing side&#8217;s storylines.</p>
<p>Then again, the left has had no small amount of practice going after Lieberman, while the right has ignored Hagel for awhile. Which may itself be part of the problem, and something to correct sooner rather than later.</p>
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		<title>Cold Wind in August</title>
		<link>http://www.blogpi.net/cold-wind-in-august</link>
		<comments>http://www.blogpi.net/cold-wind-in-august#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Sep 2007 01:01:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Beutler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[National Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republicans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scandal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate Control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chuck Hagel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The New Republic]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogpi.net/cold-wind-in-august</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It rained some in the District during August, but it was cold at both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue. Among the Republican politicians and officials announcing resignations or retirements in the past thirty days:

Karl Rove
Denny Hastert
Deborah Pryce
Chip Pickering
Alberto Gonzales
Tony Snow
John Warner
Larry Craig

Chuck Hagel could have a similar announcement within weeks. Meanwhile, on the Democratic side, survivor [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It rained some in the District during August, but it was cold at both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue. Among the Republican politicians and officials announcing resignations or retirements in the past thirty days:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://digg.com/politics/Karl_Rove_RESIGNS_3">Karl Rove</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/08/14/politics/main3167292.shtml?source=RSSattr=Politics_3167292">Denny Hastert</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&#038;address=172x22520">Deborah Pryce</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.leadercall.com/local/local_story_229173205.html">Chip Pickering</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/27/washington/27cnd-gonzales.html">Alberto Gonzales</a></li>
<li><a href="http://michellemalkin.com/2007/08/31/tony-snow-resignation-date-sept-14/">Tony Snow</a></li>
<li><a href="http://minx.cc/?post=238961">John Warner</a></li>
<li><a href="http://www.idahostatesman.com/273/story/146747.html">Larry Craig</a></li>
</ul>
<p>Chuck Hagel could have a similar announcement within weeks. Meanwhile, on the Democratic side, survivor (of John Thune and a kind-of stroke) Tim Johnson alone in the Senate remains a question mark. Heck, Lautenberg sounds like he&#8217;ll stick around to beat Strom Thurmond&#8217;s record.</p>
<p>Who am I missing?</p>
<p><strong>P.S.</strong> That said, I think the editors at TNR Online are <a href="http://www.tnr.com/doc.mhtml?i=w070827&#038;s=judis083107">going about this all wrong</a>:</p>
<p><center><img id="image700" src="http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/2007/08/tnr-judis-red-dawn.jpg" alt="John Judis on the 2008 Senate election" /></center></p>
<p>Judis&#8217; actual piece is pretty much straight analysis, not at all implausible, and definitely not gloating like the long headline. And what&#8217;s with the short headline? Dear Editor, for the analogy to work, isn&#8217;t Judis arguing this will be a Blue Dawn? Remember, the Reds were the <i>enemies</i>.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>The Next Lieberman?</title>
		<link>http://www.blogpi.net/the-next-lieberman</link>
		<comments>http://www.blogpi.net/the-next-lieberman#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Mar 2007 00:35:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Beutler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Internecine Battles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lamont v. Lieberman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Primary fights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republicans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chuck Hagel]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogpi.net/the-next-lieberman</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Nobody would confuse Sen. Chuck Hagel with a loyal Republican. It&#8217;s not that he&#8217;s a &#8220;maverick&#8221; like John McCain. It&#8217;s worse &#8212; he&#8217;s a turncoat. What&#8217;s more, Hagel has broken with his own party on the same issue as his mirror image in the Senate, the Iraq war&#8217;s number one fan, Joe Lieberman. 
His ruminations [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nobody would confuse Sen. Chuck Hagel with a loyal Republican. It&#8217;s not that he&#8217;s a &#8220;maverick&#8221; like John McCain. It&#8217;s worse &#8212; he&#8217;s a turncoat. What&#8217;s more, Hagel has broken with his own party on the same issue as his mirror image in the Senate, the Iraq war&#8217;s number one fan, Joe Lieberman. </p>
<p>His ruminations on <a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?sa=t&#038;ct=us/3-0&#038;fp=460b3fb4dbf8e4a7&#038;ei=bQELRsy7H5e4pwLTpvmnBw&#038;url=http%3A//nebraska.statepaper.com/vnews/display.v/ART/2007/03/26/4608149320d96&#038;cid=1114850135">impeaching President Bush</a> this weekend and decision last night to cross party lines and <a href="http://www.ketv.com/politics/11421778/detail.html">vote with the Democrats</a> to set a timeline for an American troop withdrawal from Iraq only underscores this perception, and could hasten a process that <a href="http://www.swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=380">Swing State Project</a>&#8217;s DaveSund envisioned earlier this week:</p>
<blockquote><p>Like Lieberman, he&#8217;s a staple on the Sunday morning talk shows, advocating a war strategy that is diametrically opposed to his own party. But if you lined them up side-by-side, I doubt that you&#8217;d find many issues which they&#8217;d agree on. Their similarities begin and end with how they are reviled by the rank-and-file of their own party. &#8230;</p>
<p>So, just kind of picture this: Nebraska Republicans, increasingly upset at Hagel&#8217;s continued criticisms of Bush, line up behind Bruning. Not elected Republicans, of course. The Nebraska Republican establishment will be firmly behind Hagel. [Attorney General Jon] Bruning, surprised by the enthusiasm of his supporters, preempts Hagel&#8217;s late summer announcement by announcing that he will, indeed, run for Senate regardless of Hagel&#8217;s intentions. Hagel decides to run, setting up a showdown in May of 2008.</p></blockquote>
<p>A lot has to break just right for this scenario to play out. First, Hagel has to decline a presidential bid &#8212; it&#8217;s hard to see how he could run as a Republican, more plausible but no less quixotic to assume the (still theoretical) mantle of <a href="http://www.unity08.com/">Unity08</a>. <img id="image527" align="right" src="http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/2007/03/hagel-is-lieberman-is-hagel.jpg" alt="Lieberman is Hagel is Lieberman" />Then he would have to decide to run for re-election, which is <a href="http://thehill.com/thehill/export/TheHill/News/Frontpage/013007/hagel.html">not guaranteed</a>. Then Bruning would have to renege on his <a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?sa=t&#038;ct=us/0-0&#038;fp=460b3e631b7bffac&#038;ei=qx4LRtmTLZ-koALw8rWoBw&#038;url=http%3A//www.kduhtv.com/viewStory.php%3Fid%3D5465&#038;cid=0">promise not to challenge</a> Hagel for the GOP nod. And finally, the Nebraska GOP establishment would have to stand by their incumbent. But it sounds like it could happen, even if only because it&#8217;s happened before.</p>
<p>Now, I don&#8217;t think Hagel is disliked by conservatives as much as Lieberman is disliked by Democrats. For one, conservatives have had their way on the war &#8212; except for everything after the invasion, of course &#8212; and Hagel has been an irrelevant nag. Until now, of course. Conservatives may be unhappy with the direction of the war, but it&#8217;s very unlikely a significant number of them will move in Hagel&#8217;s direction, and less likely still they would reward Hagel for being right, even if he is. </p>
<p>Right or wrong, Hagel is a prime target for Republican ire not just in his own state but nationwide: he sold out the party and sold out on the war. If he gets primaried, Bruning could be the next Ned Lamont. Well, almost:</p>
<blockquote><p>There is one key difference, of course: if Hagel loses the Republican nomination, he can&#8217;t run in the &#8220;Nebraska for Hagel&#8221; party. Nebraska law expressly forbids running for the same office after losing the primary.</p></blockquote>
<p>If anything, this makes a primary challenge only more likely. If the intraparty fight could extend from May to November, Bruning and other Republicans may decline to prolong the split as the party aims to unify and focus on the presidential election. Assured that no matter what, it would be over well before the national conventions, what&#8217;s the downside?</p>
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