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	<title>Blog P.I. &#187; White House &#8216;12</title>
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	<description>Putting the blogosphere under a magnifying glass</description>
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		<title>Austan Goolsbee, Celebrity Wonk</title>
		<link>http://www.blogpi.net/austan-goolsbee-celebrity-wonk</link>
		<comments>http://www.blogpi.net/austan-goolsbee-celebrity-wonk#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Oct 2010 15:03:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Beutler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rhetoric]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stephen Colbert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White House '12]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Beutler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Austan Goolsbee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Council of Economic Advisers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DC Improv]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stand-up comedy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[YouTube]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogpi.net/?p=1802</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Over the past few weeks, the White House has been sending its Council of Economic Advisers chair, Austan Goolsbee, out onto the Internet circuit with a series of videos to explain the current economic situation and the talk up president&#8217;s economic policies. They&#8217;re called &#8220;White House White Board&#8221; and represent perhaps the best Internet outreach [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over the past few weeks, the White House has been sending its Council of Economic Advisers chair, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austan_Goolsbee">Austan Goolsbee</a>, out onto the Internet circuit with a series of videos to explain the current economic situation and the talk up president&#8217;s economic policies. They&#8217;re called &#8220;White House White Board&#8221; and represent perhaps the best Internet outreach by President Obama&#8217;s team since, well, maybe the 2008 presidential campaign.</p>
<p>The first one received more than <a href="http://www.youtube.com/user/whitehouse#p/u/38/ma5np8PcaY8">47,000 views on YouTube</a> alone. This may not sound like a lot compared to &#8220;viral&#8221; videos with more than 1 million views, but it does appear to be the most popular video<a href="http://www.youtube.com/user/whitehouse#p/u"> the White House has posted to its YouTube channel</a> in several months. These days, most top out around 1,000 views, and even Obama&#8217;s own speeches are hovering around 20,000. Considering that views of 200,000+ was typical for many videos on Obama&#8217;s YouTube channel a year ago, here is an example of how President Obama&#8217;s online popularity has diminished. Meanwhile, it might well be fair to say that Goolsbee is the White House&#8217;s hottest star.</p>
<p>In addition to the 47,000-times seen video, Goolsbee took the same chart to the Colbert Report, where he <a href="http://www.colbertnation.com/full-episodes/wed-october-13-2010-austan-goolsbee">squared off with Stephen Colber</a>t and repeated his explanation of the president&#8217;s preferred tax bill.</p>
<p>The latest video was <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2010/10/19/white-house-white-board-cea-chair-austan-goolsbee-explains-jobs-trends">released just this morning</a>, and it&#8217;s much like the last: Goolsbee stands in front of a pre-drawn chart on a white board and explains what it means. Maybe it&#8217;s not quite a true &#8220;whiteboard&#8221; video like American Public Media&#8217;s <a href="http://marketplace.publicradio.org/collections/coll_display.php?coll_id=20216">Marketplace Whiteboard</a> or even <a href="http://www.slate.com/id/2164266/">those famous UPS ads</a>. It only has a few hundred views as yet, but I&#8217;ll bet that&#8217;s about to change:</p>
<p><center><object width="480" height="300"><param name="movie" value="http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/all/modules/swftools/shared/flash_media_player/player5x2.swf"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="bgcolor" value="282828"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><param name="flashvars" value="config=http://www.whitehouse.gov/xml/video/22180/config.xml&#038;path_to_plugins=http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/modules/wh_multimedia/wh_jwplayer/plugins&#038;path_to_player=http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/all/modules/swftools/shared/flash_media_player/player5x2.swf"></param><embed src="http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/all/modules/swftools/shared/flash_media_player/player5x2.swf" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="480" height="300" flashvars="config=http://www.whitehouse.gov/xml/video/22180/config.xml&#038;path_to_plugins=http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/modules/wh_multimedia/wh_jwplayer/plugins&#038;path_to_player=http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/all/modules/swftools/shared/flash_media_player/player5x2.swf&#038;share_url=http://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2010/10/19/white-house-white-board-cea-chair-austan-goolsbee-explains-jobs-trends"></embed></object></center></p>
<p>What really sells these, of course, is Goolsbee. He&#8217;s got great timing and just the right cadence for a video that&#8217;s meant to be both primarily informative and at least somewhat entertaining. One of Goolsbee&#8217;s quirkier resume items is having belonged to an improv comedy troupe at Yale, and perhaps it&#8217;s no surprise that he tried his hand at stand-up comedy earlier this year:</p>
<p><center><embed src="http://c.brightcove.com/services/viewer/federated_f8/1155201977" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoId=42909361001&#038;playerId=1155201977&#038;viewerSecureGatewayURL=https://console.brightcove.com/services/amfgateway&#038;servicesURL=http://services.brightcove.com/services&#038;cdnURL=http://admin.brightcove.com&#038;domain=embed&#038;autoStart=false&#038;" base="http://admin.brightcove.com" name="flashObj" width="486" height="412" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed></center></p>
<p>As <a href="http://www.realfirststeps.com/editorial/austan-goolsbee-funny-standup-comedian-close/">this comedy blog observes</a>, he doesn&#8217;t exactly knock &#8216;em dead, but he does have the confidence to deliver a much better performance, given stronger material. </p>
<p>In fact, that&#8217;s probably the biggest risk for Goolsbee and the White House &#8212; whether their material good enough for prime time. With the midterms in just a few weeks, the 2012 campaign will get under way soon. Is that enough time to work out the economy in <strike>small clubs</strike> web videos?</p>
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		<item>
		<title>&#9829;-ing Huckabee, Now More Than Ever</title>
		<link>http://www.blogpi.net/ing-huckabee-now-more-than-ever</link>
		<comments>http://www.blogpi.net/ing-huckabee-now-more-than-ever#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Jan 2010 01:57:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Beutler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mike Huckabee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Relaunches]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republicans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White House '12]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Beutler]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogpi.net/?p=1721</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Way back in August 2007, I wrote about a blog called Mike Huckabee President 2008. As one might expect, the purpose of this particular was to support Huckabee&#8217;s presidential campaign. Nothing too spectacular about that, except that Mike Huckabee President 2008, launched February 15, 2005, was almost certainly the first unofficial blog supporting any 2008 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Way back in August 2007, I wrote about a blog called <a href="http://mikehuckabeepresident2008.blogspot.com/">Mike Huckabee President 2008</a>. As one might expect, the purpose of this particular was to support Huckabee&#8217;s presidential campaign. Nothing too spectacular about that, except that Mike Huckabee President 2008, launched February 15, 2005, was almost certainly the first unofficial blog supporting any 2008 candidate. In fact, it predated the official launch of Huckabee&#8217;s campaign by nearly two years. </p>
<p>We are now even earlier in the present presidential election cycle than we were then, yet we can already note the existence of <a href="http://mikehuckabeepresident2012.blogspot.com/">Mike Huckabee President 2012</a> (to which, you may have already noticed, the old site redirects). </p>
<p><center><img src="http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/MHP2012.jpg" alt="Mike Huckabee President 2012 blog" title="Mike Huckabee President 2012 blog" width="500" height="278" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1722" /></center></p>
<p>The blog is run by the same pseudonymous &#8220;Blue State Republican&#8221; responsible for the previous campaign. In a recent e-mail, BSR notes:</p>
<blockquote><p>we start out not only with Huckabee&#8217;s name being included in early polling, but as the front runner. It should be an interesting three years.</p></blockquote>
<p>Huckabee faced an uphill battle in 2008 mostly because he lacked name recognition. That is not his problem this time, since his surprisingly strong performance has earned him a weekend slot on Fox News and what seems to be a <a href="http://www.indecisionforever.com/2009/06/19/jon-stewarts-unedited-interview-with-mike-huckabee/">standing invitation to appear on The Daily Show</a>. The bigger issue now may be his record in commuting sentences of Arkansas criminals who went on to re-offend.</p>
<p>Interestingly, Mike Huckabee President 2012 does not appear to be the first blog supporting Huckabee&#8217;s presumed campaign this cycle. In March 2008, once Huckabee had withdrawn, the very similarly named Mike <a href="http://mikehuckabee2012.blogspot.com/">Huckabee for President 2012</a> opened for business and posted 15 updates before going dark in December 2008.</p>
<p><strong>P.S.</strong> The above screen shot contains a small (very small) Easter egg of sorts. Guess correctly in the comments and buy yourself a cookie!</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Digg Needs to Stop Living in the Past</title>
		<link>http://www.blogpi.net/digg-needs-to-stop-living-in-the-past</link>
		<comments>http://www.blogpi.net/digg-needs-to-stop-living-in-the-past#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 05 Apr 2009 17:50:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Beutler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midterms '10]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seriously]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social Networking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Virginia Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web 2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White House '12]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Beutler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Digg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Jersey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ron Paul]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rush Limbaugh]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogpi.net/?p=1523</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I know that Barack Obama and Ron Paul were very popular on Digg during the last electoral cycle, but the thing about that, you know&#8230; it was the last cycle:

And what&#8217;s this, just one story in the category right now? C&#8217;mon, Digg. You can do better than this. 
And I don&#8217;t care where you go [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I know that <a href="http://www.blogpi.net/can-you-digg-it">Barack Obama</a> and <a href="http://www.blogpi.net/games-ron-paul-supporters-play">Ron Paul</a> were very popular on <a href="http://digg.com/">Digg</a> during the last electoral cycle, but the thing about that, you know&#8230; it was the <em>last</em> cycle:</p>
<p><center><img src="http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/digg-2008-elections.jpg" alt="digg-2008-elections" title="digg-2008-elections" width="450" height="251" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1522" /></center></p>
<p>And what&#8217;s this, just <a href="http://digg.com/2008_us_elections/Limbaguh_Party_leader_Jokes_about_death_of_Ted_Kennedy">one story</a> in <a href="http://digg.com/2008_us_elections">the category</a> right now? C&#8217;mon, Digg. You can do better than this. </p>
<p>And I don&#8217;t care where you go with it &#8212; 2012 presidential election? 2010 congressional midterms? 2009 New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial campaigns? &#8212; but you&#8217;ve got to start living in the now.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Barack Obama and Wikipedia are More Alike Than You Think</title>
		<link>http://www.blogpi.net/barack-obama-and-wikipedia-are-more-alike-than-you-think</link>
		<comments>http://www.blogpi.net/barack-obama-and-wikipedia-are-more-alike-than-you-think#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Jan 2009 15:59:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Beutler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[E-mail]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mitt Romney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Online Fundraising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Swag]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tech Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Website Design]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White House '08]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White House '12]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wikipedia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Beutler]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogpi.net/?p=1353</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I don&#8217;t know if most readers here would think that Wikipedia&#8217;s best-covered politician and Google&#8217;s best-listed website are all that similar, but I don&#8217;t think you can write it off entirely. 
My reason for thinking so began after Mickey Kaus checked his e-mail inbox late last week, and asked:
Will Obama ever stop asking me for [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t know if most readers here would think that <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Barack_Obama">Wikipedia&#8217;s best-covered politician</a> and <a href="http://www.thegooglecache.com/white-hat-seo/966-of-wikipedia-pages-rank-in-googles-top-10/">Google&#8217;s best-listed website</a> are all that similar, but I don&#8217;t think you can write it off entirely. </p>
<p>My reason for thinking so began after <a href="http://www.slate.com/blogs/blogs/kausfiles/archive/2009/01/08/stings-of-leon.aspx">Mickey Kaus</a> checked his e-mail inbox late last week, and asked:</p>
<blockquote><p>Will Obama ever stop asking me for money? Or is it all fundraising, all the way out? &#8230; Not only is he still milking his supporters for money, he&#8217;s doing it in an obnoxious way, no? &#8220;Join us at the inauguration&#8221; turns out to mean &#8220;pay for other people to party at the inauguration you&#8217;re not going to&#8221;!</p></blockquote>
<p>He&#8217;s got a point there. I&#8217;ve been on Obama&#8217;s list for more than a year now &#8212; my first post of 2008 was about how Obama&#8217;s campaign sent <a href="http://www.blogpi.net/the-first-campaign-e-mail-of-2008">the year&#8217;s first campaign e-mail</a> that New Years Day wee morning hours &#8212; and I&#8217;ve been getting (and half-paying attention to) them ever since. Here is my unofficial count (and anyone is welcome to do a recount) of the e-mails &#8220;Paid for by Obama for America&#8221; I have received in 2009, followed by that ubiquitous red button:</p>
<ul>
<li>Join us at the Inauguration, Jan. 3, Obama for America</li>
<li>Our first guest, Jan. 6, Michelle Obama</li>
<li>Be there for history, Jan. 7, Bill Clinton</li>
<li>Deadline: Midnight, Jan. 8, Barack Obama</li>
<li>Re: Midnight deadline, Jan. 8, David Plouffe</li>
<li>Your call to service, Jan. 12, Michelle Obama</li>
</ul>
<p><center><img src="http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/obama-email-please-donate.jpg" alt="" title="obama-email-please-donate" width="274" height="54" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1354" /></center></p>
<p>It&#8217;s a permanent campaign, all right. </p>
<p>He&#8217;s not President of the United States yet, I&#8217;ll give him that. But you would tend to think his fundraising goals have been satisfied &#8212; especially since his campaign let departing staffers have <a href="http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2008/11/14/2008-11-14_barack_obama_gives_campaign_staffers_ext.html">an extra month&#8217;s paycheck, plus their laptops and BlackBerrys</a> (and a tip of the hat to Research in Motion&#8217;s PR department for getting <a href="http://news.google.com/news?q=blackberrys">reporters following AP style</a> to not spell it &#8220;Blackberries&#8221;).</p>
<p>And you know what this reminds me of, as it might not remind most inside the Beltway? It&#8217;s not altogether unlike Wikipedia&#8217;s <em>constant</em> fundraising. As recently as December, <a href="http://valleywag.gawker.com/5117814/brother-wikipedia-wants-your-dime">Valleywag criticized</a> the Jimmy &#8220;Jimbo&#8221; Wales-led on-site (always a banner across the top) fundraising drive mostly for being annoying and evidentiary of Wales being a poor leader of the website with the most comprehensive description of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regional_variations_of_barbecue">Regional variations of barbecue</a>.</p>
<p>By early January, however, it turned out that Wikipedia had <a href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/62_million_wikipedia_reaches_fundraising_goal.php">beaten its 2008 fundraising goals</a> to the tune of $6.2 million. In the interests of disclosure as well as narrative, I&#8217;ll say that I donated as much to the <a href="http://www.wikimedia.org/">Wikimedia Foundation</a> this winter as I&#8217;ve donated in any one instance since <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Katrina">Hurricane Katrina</a>. So with that said, as I&#8217;ve been editing Wikipedia recently, I have often noticed this banner at the top of each article:</p>
<p><center><img src="http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/wales-wikipedia-thank-you.jpg" alt="" title="wales-wikipedia-thank-you" width="450" height="96" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1355" /></center></p>
<p>And what happens when you click on it? You come to a page with a <a href="http://wikimediafoundation.org/wiki/Donate/ThankYou/en">letter of thanks from Wales</a>. It looks like this:</p>
<p><center><img src="http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/wales-thank-you-page.jpg" alt="" title="wales-thank-you-page" width="450" height="233" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1357" /></center></p>
<p>Okay, so maybe Valleywag has a point about Wales as the public face of the website with the most informative biography of Portland, Oregon home furnishings salesman and television pitchman <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Peterson">Tom Peterson</a>. </p>
<p>And then, your eye drifts down the page to see this:</p>
<p><center><img src="http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/wales-wikipedia-please-donate.jpg" alt="" title="wales-wikipedia-please-donate" width="194" height="38" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1356" /></center></p>
<p>The permanent campaign, indeed.</p>
<p><strong>P.S.</strong> I haven&#8217;t even mentioned that also this afternoon, <a href="http://www.freestrongamerica.com/">Mitt Romney&#8217;s Free and Strong America PAC</a> was asking $100 for this:</p>
<p><center><img src="http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/romney-pac-winter-gear1.jpg" alt="" title="romney-pac-winter-gear1" width="200" height="249" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1363" /></center></p>
<p>Don&#8217;t even get me <a href="http://www.blogpi.net/more-of-romney-less-of-you">started</a>.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Hillary Needs Me (And You)</title>
		<link>http://www.blogpi.net/hillary-needs-me-and-you</link>
		<comments>http://www.blogpi.net/hillary-needs-me-and-you#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 18:29:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Beutler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[#pdf2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[E-mail]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fundraising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hillary Clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Online Fundraising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White House '08]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White House '12]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Beutler]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogpi.net/hillary-needs-me-and-you</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My last post, written from an auditorium on the fifth floor of the AOL Time Warner Center, was a little on the snarky side about the fact that two weeks after the formal suspension of Hillary Clinton&#8217;s campaign, she is still sending e-mails to her massive list. 
Later in the day, I attended a panel [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My last post, written from an auditorium on the fifth floor of the <strike>AOL</strike> Time Warner Center, was a little on the snarky side about the fact that two weeks after the formal suspension of Hillary Clinton&#8217;s campaign, she is still <a href="http://www.blogpi.net/hillary-is-stalking-me">sending e-mails to her massive list</a>. </p>
<p><img align='right' src='http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/hillary-needs-me.jpg' alt='Hillary’s third e-mail since leaving the race' />Later in the day, I attended a panel discussion with my colleague Soren Dayton and Peter Daou, who still remains Senator Clinton&#8217;s Internet advisor. Afterward I spoke with Daou briefly, and I mentioned the post and asked him about their e-mail plans. He confirmed that they indeed planned to continue sending e-mails to the list.</p>
<p>They didn&#8217;t wait long. </p>
<p>At right is the image from an e-mail I received late this morning. Not surprisingly, it&#8217;s an appeal for help paying down the campaign&#8217;s debt &#8212; about $22 million, $12 million of which she loaned herself. So I expect I&#8217;ll be getting more than a few of these over the coming weeks. But I promise I&#8217;ll only write about it again if it&#8217;s really interesting.</p>
<p><strong>P.S.</strong> One more shout-out to Daou for helping me write <a href="http://www.blogpi.net/hillary-in-blogistan-on-blogads-the-netroots-and-peter-daou">Hillary in Blogistan: On Blogads, The Netroots and Peter Daou</a> upon the campaign&#8217;s official launch January 2007. Yes it made him look good, but as a senior-level staffer of the front-running Democratic candidate, he was certainly under no obligation to speak with a right-of-center blogger about the campaign.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Hillary is Stalking Me</title>
		<link>http://www.blogpi.net/hillary-is-stalking-me</link>
		<comments>http://www.blogpi.net/hillary-is-stalking-me#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jun 2008 19:14:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Beutler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[#pdf2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[E-mail]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogpi.net/hillary-is-stalking-me</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As I&#8217;m sitting here in the Rose Theater at PDF, working on a longer post about the day&#8217;s cacophony, what arrives in my inbox but this: 

This is the second e-mail I&#8217;ve received from &#8220;Hillary for President&#8221; since she announced her (reluctant?) support for Barack Obama. Here&#8217;s the other one, which arrived almost exactly a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As I&#8217;m sitting here in the Rose Theater at PDF, working on a longer post about the day&#8217;s cacophony, what arrives in my inbox but this: </p>
<p><center><img src='http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/hillary-for-president-june-23-email.jpg' alt='June 23 e-mail from Hillary for President' /></center></p>
<p>This is the second e-mail I&#8217;ve received from &#8220;Hillary for President&#8221; since she announced her (reluctant?) support for Barack Obama. Here&#8217;s the other one, which arrived almost exactly a week ago:</p>
<p><center><img src='http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/hillary-for-president-june-16-email.jpg' alt='June 16 e-mail from Hillary for President' /></center></p>
<p>Well, I suppose she did give fair warning. But does this mean I&#8217;ll get an e-mail from her every week from now until the convention? Until the election? And will they have the same aspirational banner across the top? </p>
<p>Alternatively, is this the true end of the Hillary campaign &#8212; not with a bang, but with a whimper; not with a speech, but with an e-mail? I guess we&#8217;ll find out.</p>
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		<title>Four Blogs, Two Candidates and One Year Later</title>
		<link>http://www.blogpi.net/four-blogs-two-candidates-and-one-year-later</link>
		<comments>http://www.blogpi.net/four-blogs-two-candidates-and-one-year-later#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 May 2008 18:59:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Beutler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.blogpi.net/four-blogs-two-candidates-and-one-year-later</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Three&#8217;s a trend, and this is Blog P.I.&#8217;s third post in a row leaning on juxtapositions; this time, the subject of two posts from late 2006 and early 2007 have converged in a way I certainly couldn&#8217;t have imagined at the time. Both were about bloggers&#8217; attitudes toward the presidential campaign then still taking shape, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><center><img src='http://www.blogpi.net/wp-content/uploads/cole-sullivan-armstrong-marsh.jpg' alt='Balloon Juice, The Daily Dish, MyDD and Taylor Marsh' /></center></p>
<p>Three&#8217;s a trend, and this is Blog P.I.&#8217;s <a href="http://www.blogpi.net/the-tale-of-the-e-mail">third post</a> in <a href="http://www.blogpi.net/all-the-news-that-fits-your-bias">a row</a> leaning on juxtapositions; this time, the subject of two posts from late 2006 and early 2007 have converged in a way I certainly couldn&#8217;t have imagined at the time. Both were about bloggers&#8217; attitudes toward the presidential campaign then still taking shape, and if one can make any definitive predictions in politics, it&#8217;s that you can never make definitive predictions about the future. And this is all the more true on the morning after the primaries in North Carolina and Indiana.</p>
<ul>
<li>In October &#8216;06 it was <a href="http://www.blogpi.net/the-agony-and-the-apostasy">The Agony and the Apostasy</a>, about the leftward drift of two well-known (onetime) conservative bloggers, <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/">Andrew Sullivan</a> and <a href="http://www.balloon-juice.com/">John Cole</a>. Sullivan claims to believe everything today that he believed in the early 2000s, but the day-to-day effect of his blogging is pretty much the opposite. Cole has gone from a Republican supporter of the Iraq war to a sarcastic critic of all things Republican.</li>
<li>Then in January 2007, <a href="http://www.blogpi.net/hillary-in-blogistan-on-blogads-the-netroots-and-peter-daou">Hillary in Blogistan: On Blogads, the Netroots and Peter Daou</a>, a lengthy reported piece about the Internet advertising campaign directed by Daou, coinciding with the official launch of Clinton&#8217;s presidential bid. That post also explored Nevada blogger <a href="http://www.taylormarsh.com/">Taylor Marsh</a>&#8217;s incensed reaction to being excluded from the original ad buy. This post also referred to <a href="http://www.mydd.com/">MyDD</a> as &#8220;one of the leading anti-Hillary sites on the left.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<p>So how much does a year change? Quite a bit. The 2006 post wondered about which way the two apostates would break in the 2008 race:</p>
<blockquote><p>It seems plausible that Sullivan and Cole could support a Republican for president alongside their erstwhile compatriots, but probably not until after the primary is decided.</p></blockquote>
<p>My answer, hedging as it was, does not seem to have stood the test of time.</p>
<ul>
<li>In the year and a half since, Sullivan has moved his blog from Time to The Atlantic and, in concert with his recent criticism of the Republican Party and conservative movement overall, he has become one of the most prominent supporters of Barack Obama. So much so that The Atlantic published a December cover essay by Sullivan presumptuously titled <a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200712/obama">&#8220;Goodbye to All That: Why Obama Matters.&#8221;</a> On the Republican side, Sullivan had preferred McCain over the runners-up, in large part based on McCain&#8217;s opposition to the Bush administration&#8217;s torture/interrogation policies. Of course, Obama holds the same opinion. Sullivan was <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/05/over.html">no doubt pleased</a> with last night&#8217;s results in North Carolina and Indiana, but one cannot escape the sense that <a href="http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/05/the-shamelessne.html">he&#8217;ll miss the Clintons</a>.</li>
<li>Cole, meanwhile, has become an even more constant, if not more ardent, supporter of Obama&#8217;s candidacy. Like Sullivan a former 1990s conservative, he acquired no later appreciation for Hillary Clinton. And like Sullivan, he now sees her worse attributes similar to <a href="http://www.balloon-juice.com/?cat=19">what he doesn&#8217;t like</a> about the modern Republican party. He remains a member of the <a href="http://www.pajamasmedia.com/">Pajamas Media</a> advertising network which is run and largely populated by right-of-center blogs such as <a href="http://www.instapundit.com/">Instapundit</a> and <a href="http://www.celluloid-wisdom.com/">Protein Wisdom</a>. But now he&#8217;s also been using the Democrat-oriented ActBlue website to <a href="http://www.actblue.com/page/balloonsforobama">raise money for Obama</a> (and Obama alone) which probably makes him the only blog simultaneously affiliated with both Pajamas Media and ActBlue. As for the primary results, <a href="http://www.balloon-juice.com/?p=10294">Cole was exultant</a>, apparently staying up most of the night blogging the results.</li>
</ul>
<p>Clearly, neither are rejoining the Republican camp anytime soon. More interesting, though, is what&#8217;s happened with Taylor Marsh and MyDD. </p>
<ul>
<li>At the time, Marsh was leaning strongly <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/taylor-marsh/john-edwards-gets-it_b_36335.html">toward Edwards</a> and was <a href="http://www.taylormarsh.com/archives_view.php?id=24942">unimpressed by Clinton</a>. But regardless of her displeasure with the Clinton campaign&#8217;s ad buy, barely two months later she had changed her mind and made <a href="http://www.taylormarsh.com/archives_view.php?id=27318">the case for Clinton</a>. Even before then, her site had started to <a href="http://www.taylormarsh.com/archives_view.php?id=25170">turn anti-Obama</a>, especially after he dissed her home state by skipping an AFSCME-sponsored presidential forum in Carson City. Since then, she has been one of the most ardent pro-Clinton bloggers and one of the most committed Democratic opponents of Obama. And only just this morning, with the primary results clear, is Marsh <a href="http://www.taylormarsh.com/archives_view.php?id=27622">shifting again</a>: recognizing that Clinton cannot win, she will oppose John McCain without making the case for Obama.</li>
<li>Meantime, MyDD has undergone even bigger changes than the other three. In this case it wasn&#8217;t a change of mind, but a change of bloggers: in July of last year, the two principal authors, Chris Bowers and Matt Stoller, decamped for an entirely new website: <a href="http://www.openleft.com/">Open Left</a>. Their new blog has now become a new <a href="http://www.openleft.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=5300">leading anti-Hillary</a> site, as MyDD once was. Meanwhile, MyDD has shifted back to reflecting the opinion of the site&#8217;s original founder, Jerome Armstrong. Armstrong stepped up his own blogging and brought in a new contributor, pro-Hillary Todd Beeton. Armstrong had previously been a consultant to Mark Warner, former governor of (and all-but-guaranteed future senator from) Virginia, but since he exited the presidential race more than a year ago, Armstrong has become an <a href="http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/3/22/123727/461">unflinching proponent</a> of Hillary Clinton. So much so, in fact, that it has been the <a href="http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/4/24/9508/65918/999/502418">source of conflict</a> between Armstrong and his former co-author Markos Moulitsas, to say nothing of the <a href="http://electioninspection.wordpress.com/2008/03/22/jerome-armstrongs-intellectual-dishonesty/">wider leftosphere</a>. Today, Armstrong is sounding <a href="http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/5/7/105415/6583">a little more apathetic</a> than Marsh, merely affirming that the Clinton campaign has the right to continue on.</li>
</ul>
<p>Taken as a whole, the four websites defy categorization, dissimilar in cause and effect, except in that their content has changed dramatically over time. And I am sure that whether McCain or Obama takes the oath of office next January, I don&#8217;t want to make any predictions about which candidates each site will be supporting in 2012.</p>
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